RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: Borussia Dortmund to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultRB Leipzig to win45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score67% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.29
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund preview and prediction
The match
The Bundesliga sees RB Leipzig take on Borussia Dortmund on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig are 4th with 18 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd on 21 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for RB Leipzig and 1.5 for Borussia Dortmund. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Borussia Dortmund to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: RB Leipzig 1–1 Borussia Dortmund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
RB Leipzig45%fair 2.20 · @2.05
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @4.00
Borussia Dortmund36%fair 2.80 · @3.10
3.25Expected goals
1.74RB Leipzig xG
1.51Borussia Dortmund xG
67%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: RB Leipzig 1.7 – 1.5 Borussia Dortmund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RB Leipzig to win
45%
2.20
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
81%
1.23
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.43
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.68
Half-time result
Level at half-time
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RB Leipzig / FT RB Leipzig
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.29
–
Form
RB Leipzig – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs VfL Wolfsburg
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund – last 2
WW
17 Feb
vs Atalanta
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs FSV Mainz 05
4–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund.
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
On our numbers RB Leipzig have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Borussia Dortmund 36%.
How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our predicted score is RB Leipzig 1–1 Borussia Dortmund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Red Bull Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
VfL Wolfsburg2