Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Nafta to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNafta to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceNafta or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Nafta vs Triglav preview and prediction
The match
Triglav travel to Lendava Sports Park in the 2. SNL on Friday 22 May (16:00 WAT) to face Nafta.
Form guide
Nafta's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Brinje-Grosuplje 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Triglav's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Dekani 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Triglav arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Nafta and 1.1 for Triglav. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nafta 56%, draw 24%, Triglav 20%.
Safer route: Nafta or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Nafta to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nafta or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Nafta 1–1 Triglav. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nafta56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.60
Triglav20%fair 4.98 · @3.20
3.08Expected goals
1.97Nafta xG
1.12Triglav xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Nafta 2.0 – 1.1 Triglav expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nafta to win✗
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Nafta or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Half-time result
Nafta ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nafta / FT Nafta✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Nafta – last 6
LWWWWL
17 May
@ Brinje-Grosuplje
1–2
L
6 May
@ Bilje
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Ilirija
2–0
W
17 Apr
@ Tabor Sežana
2–0
W
16 Mar
vs Dravinja
2–1
W
12 Mar
@ Bravo
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Triglav – last 6
WWWWWW
6 May
vs Dekani
2–0
W
30 Apr
@ Jesenice
3–0
W
24 Apr
vs Krško
4–0
W
3 Apr
@ Krka
2–0
W
27 Mar
vs Rudar
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Slovan Ljubljana
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nafta and Triglav.
Our pick is Nafta or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nafta vs Triglav?
On our numbers Nafta have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Triglav 20%.
How many goals will there be in Nafta vs Triglav?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nafta vs Triglav?
Our predicted score is Nafta 1–1 Triglav, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nafta vs Triglav?
Nafta vs Triglav (2. SNL) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lendava Sports Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Brinje-Grosuplje1