Value bet: Beltinci to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBeltinci to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceBeltinci or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.80
Ilirija vs Beltinci preview and prediction
The match
Ilirija host Beltinci in the 2. SNL on Friday 22 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Ilirija are 6th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Beltinci sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Ilirija's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Dravinja 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Beltinci's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Bistrica 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Beltinci arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Ilirija and 1.9 for Beltinci. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ilirija 15%, draw 25%, Beltinci 59%.
Safer route: Beltinci or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Beltinci to win at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ilirija 0–2 Beltinci. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ilirija15%fair 6.49 · @3.75
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.60
Beltinci59%fair 1.68 · @1.80
2.83Expected goals
0.91Ilirija xG
1.92Beltinci xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Ilirija 0.9 – 1.9 Beltinci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beltinci to win✓
59%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Beltinci or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.40
Half-time result
Beltinci ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beltinci / FT Beltinci✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.80
–
Form
Ilirija – last 6
LLWWLL
6 May
@ Dravinja
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Nafta
0–2
L
24 Apr
@ Krka
4–1
W
17 Apr
vs Bistrica
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Slovan Ljubljana
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Tabor Sežana
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Beltinci – last 6
WDWDWD
6 May
vs Bistrica
3–0
W
10 Apr
vs Krško
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Gorica
3–2
W
20 Mar
@ Krka
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Rudar
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Triglav
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ilirija and Beltinci.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ilirija vs Beltinci?
On our numbers Ilirija have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Beltinci 59%.
How many goals will there be in Ilirija vs Beltinci?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilirija vs Beltinci?
Our predicted score is Ilirija 0–2 Beltinci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ilirija vs Beltinci?
Ilirija vs Beltinci (2. SNL) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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