Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.24
Marseille vs Metz preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Marseille take on Metz on Friday 10 April, kicking off at 20:05 (WAT) at Orange Vélodrome.
Form guide
Marseille's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to Monaco 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Metz's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Nantes 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.5 for Marseille and 0.7 for Metz. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marseille 74%, draw 18%, Metz 8%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Marseille to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Marseille 2–0 Metz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marseille74%fair 1.34 · @1.24
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @5.75
Metz8%fair 13.10 · @10.75
3.26Expected goals
2.51Marseille xG
0.75Metz xG
48%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Marseille 2.5 – 0.7 Metz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marseille to win✓
74%
1.34
1.24
Double chance
Marseille or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Half-time result
Marseille ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marseille / FT Marseille✓
52%
1.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.24
–
Form
Marseille – last 4
LLWL
5 Apr
@ Monaco
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Lille
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Auxerre
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Stade Brestois 29
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Metz – last 6
DDLLLL
5 Apr
vs Nantes
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Rennes
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Toulouse
3–4
L
8 Mar
@ Lens
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Stade Brestois 29
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Auxerre
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marseille and Metz.
Our pick is Marseille to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Marseille vs Metz?
On our numbers Marseille have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Metz 8%.
How many goals will there be in Marseille vs Metz?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marseille vs Metz?
Our predicted score is Marseille 2–0 Metz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Marseille vs Metz?
Marseille vs Metz (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 20:05 (West Africa Time) at Orange Vélodrome.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
