Value bet: Rotherham to win @ 3.40 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStevenage to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.52
Rotherham vs Stevenage preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Rotherham take on Stevenage on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Aesseal New York Stadium.
Form guide
Rotherham's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Peterborough 0–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Stevenage's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Plymouth 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Stevenage arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Rotherham and 1.3 for Stevenage. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Rotherham to win at 3.40 – 31% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: Rotherham 1–1 Stevenage. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rotherham31%fair 3.20 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Stevenage46%fair 2.20 · @2.10
2.26Expected goals
0.99Rotherham xG
1.27Stevenage xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Rotherham 1.0 – 1.3 Stevenage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stevenage to win✗
46%
2.20
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stevenage / FT Stevenage✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.52
–
Form
Rotherham – last 6
LLDLLL
17 Mar
@ Peterborough
0–5
L
7 Mar
@ Huddersfield
0–1
L
3 Mar
vs Mansfield Town
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Bradford
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Doncaster
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Burton Albion
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Stevenage – last 4
LLLW
17 Mar
@ Plymouth
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs Leyton Orient
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Wycombe
1–3
L
17 Feb
vs Port Vale
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotherham and Stevenage.
What is the prediction for Rotherham vs Stevenage?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Rotherham vs Stevenage?
On our numbers Rotherham have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stevenage 46%.
How many goals will there be in Rotherham vs Stevenage?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotherham vs Stevenage?
Our predicted score is Rotherham 1–1 Stevenage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Rotherham vs Stevenage?
Rotherham vs Stevenage (League One) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Aesseal New York Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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