Burton Albion vs Barnsley Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 3 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultBurton Albion to win ✗40% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.68

Burton Albion vs Barnsley preview and prediction

The match

Barnsley travel to Pirelli Stadium in the League One on Friday 3 April (15:00 WAT) to face Burton Albion. Burton Albion are 15th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Barnsley sit 23rd on 9 points (in the bottom three).

Form guide

Burton Albion's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Reading 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Barnsley's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Wigan 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Burton Albion and 1.4 for Barnsley. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Burton Albion 40%, draw 23%, Barnsley 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Barnsley to win at 3.25 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Burton Albion 1–1 Barnsley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Burton Albion40%fair 2.50 · @2.05

Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.30

Barnsley37%fair 2.71 · @3.25

2.83Expected goals

1.45Burton Albion xG

1.38Barnsley xG

63%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

2–19%

1–09%

1–28%

0–18%

2–06%

From our goals model: Burton Albion 1.4 – 1.4 Barnsley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Burton Albion to win ✗	40%	2.50	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	77%	1.30	1.29
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.58	1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.86	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.46	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.43	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Burton Albion / FT Burton Albion ✗	23%	4.38	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.68	–

Form

Burton Albion – last 6

LDWDWD

17 Mar	vs Reading	1–2	L
3 Mar	@ Exeter City	1–1	D
24 Feb	vs Stockport County	3–0	W
21 Feb	@ Luton	1–1	D
17 Feb	vs Rotherham	1–0	W
14 Feb	vs West Ham	0–0	D

1.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Barnsley – last 6

DDLWLW

17 Mar	vs Wigan	1–1	D
10 Mar	vs Cardiff	1–1	D
3 Mar	vs Wycombe	0–1	L
28 Feb	@ Leyton Orient	3–1	W
21 Feb	@ Huddersfield	1–2	L
17 Feb	vs Peterborough	2–1	W

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	+12	26
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	+10	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	+2	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	-2	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	+5	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	+4	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	-1	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	-12	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	-8	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	-11	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	-10	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	-20	9

Team

Pts

+16

+12

+11

+10

-2

-3

-1

-12

-4

-8

-11

-12

-10

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burton Albion vs Barnsley?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Burton Albion vs Barnsley?

On our numbers Burton Albion have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Barnsley 37%.

How many goals will there be in Burton Albion vs Barnsley?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Burton Albion vs Barnsley?

Our predicted score is Burton Albion 1–1 Barnsley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Burton Albion vs Barnsley?

Burton Albion vs Barnsley (League One) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Pirelli Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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