Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon prediction & analysis
75%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: AFC Wimbledon to win @ 3.55 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultMansfield Town to win44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.63
Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon preview and prediction
The match
AFC Wimbledon travel to One Call Stadium in the League One on Saturday 28 February (16:00 WAT) to face Mansfield Town. Mansfield Town are 11th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while AFC Wimbledon sit 18th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Mansfield Town and 1.2 for AFC Wimbledon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mansfield Town 44%, draw 22%, AFC Wimbledon 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: AFC Wimbledon to win at 3.55 – 34% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Mansfield Town 1–1 AFC Wimbledon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mansfield Town44%fair 2.29 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.25
AFC Wimbledon34%fair 2.92 · @3.55
2.50Expected goals
1.35Mansfield Town xG
1.15AFC Wimbledon xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Mansfield Town 1.4 – 1.2 AFC Wimbledon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mansfield Town to win
44%
2.29
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mansfield Town / FT Mansfield Town
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.63
–
Form
Mansfield Town – last 2
LL
21 Feb
vs Lincoln
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Blackpool
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
AFC Wimbledon – last 2
WL
21 Feb
vs Bradford
3–1
W
17 Feb
@ Cardiff
1–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mansfield Town and AFC Wimbledon.
What is the prediction for Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
On our numbers Mansfield Town have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AFC Wimbledon 34%.
How many goals will there be in Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our predicted score is Mansfield Town 1–1 AFC Wimbledon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon (League One) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at One Call Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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