Bolton travel to St James Park in the League One on Saturday 28 February (16:00 WAT) to face Exeter City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Exeter City and 1.4 for Bolton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Exeter City 30%, draw 22%, Bolton 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Exeter City 1–1 Bolton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Exeter City30%fair 3.29 · @3.35
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Bolton48%fair 2.10 · @2.12
2.44Expected goals
1.04Exeter City xG
1.40Bolton xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–29%
From our goals model: Exeter City 1.0 – 1.4 Bolton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bolton to win
48%
2.10
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.86
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bolton / FT Bolton
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.27
–
Form
Exeter City – last 2
DD
21 Feb
@ Peterborough
3–3
D
17 Feb
vs Wycombe
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bolton – last 2
DD
21 Feb
vs Blackpool
2–2
D
17 Feb
@ Reading
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Exeter City and Bolton.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Exeter City vs Bolton?
On our numbers Exeter City have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bolton 48%.
How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Bolton?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Bolton?
Our predicted score is Exeter City 1–1 Bolton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Exeter City vs Bolton?
Exeter City vs Bolton (League One) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.