Burton Albion vs Stockport County preview and prediction
The match
Burton Albion host Stockport County in the League One on Tuesday 24 February, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Pirelli Stadium. Burton Albion are 15th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Stockport County sit 2nd on 26 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Burton Albion's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Luton 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Burton Albion and 1.4 for Stockport County. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Burton Albion 30%, draw 25%, Stockport County 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Burton Albion 1–1 Stockport County. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burton Albion30%fair 3.33 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.25
Stockport County45%fair 2.22 · @2.18
2.59Expected goals
1.16Burton Albion xG
1.43Stockport County xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Burton Albion 1.2 – 1.4 Stockport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Burton Albion
Stockport County
Attack vs League One average
-4%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.21
1.45
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stockport County to win✗
45%
2.22
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stockport County / FT Stockport County✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.22
–
Form
Burton Albion – last 3
DWD
21 Feb
@ Luton
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Rotherham
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs West Ham
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Stockport County – last 2
WL
21 Feb
vs Wigan
4–2
W
17 Feb
@ Bradford
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burton Albion and Stockport County.
What is the prediction for Burton Albion vs Stockport County?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Stockport County?
On our numbers Burton Albion have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Stockport County 45%.
How many goals will there be in Burton Albion vs Stockport County?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burton Albion vs Stockport County?
Our predicted score is Burton Albion 1–1 Stockport County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Burton Albion vs Stockport County?
Burton Albion vs Stockport County (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Pirelli Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.