Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorthampton to win ✗38% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.75
Northampton vs Port Vale preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Northampton take on Port Vale on Tuesday 24 February, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Sixfields Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Northampton and 1.2 for Port Vale. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Northampton 38%, draw 28%, Port Vale 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Northampton 1–1 Port Vale. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Northampton38%fair 2.65 · @2.35
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @3.10
Port Vale34%fair 2.95 · @3.10
2.27Expected goals
1.09Northampton xG
1.18Port Vale xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Northampton 1.1 – 1.2 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Northampton
Port Vale
Attack vs League One average
-27%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
-9%
Our expected goals here
0.98
1.22
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northampton to win✗
38%
2.65
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale✓
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.75
–
Form
Northampton – last 2
LL
21 Feb
vs Leyton Orient
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Lincoln
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Port Vale – last 2
DL
21 Feb
vs Reading
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Stevenage
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northampton and Port Vale.
What is the prediction for Northampton vs Port Vale?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Northampton vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Northampton have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Port Vale 34%.
How many goals will there be in Northampton vs Port Vale?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Northampton vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Northampton 1–1 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Northampton vs Port Vale?
Northampton vs Port Vale (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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