The League One sees Wigan take on Plymouth on Tuesday 10 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Brick Community Stadium. Wigan are 21st with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Plymouth sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Wigan's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Stockport County 2–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Plymouth's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Luton 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Plymouth arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Wigan and 1.3 for Plymouth. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wigan 37%, draw 24%, Plymouth 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Wigan 1–1 Plymouth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wigan37%fair 2.69 · @2.66
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Plymouth39%fair 2.57 · @2.55
2.62Expected goals
1.29Wigan xG
1.33Plymouth xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Wigan 1.3 – 1.3 Plymouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plymouth to win✓
39%
2.57
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plymouth / FT Plymouth✓
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.04
–
Form
Wigan – last 3
LWL
21 Feb
@ Stockport County
2–4
L
18 Feb
vs Luton
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Arsenal
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Plymouth – last 3
LWW
24 Feb
@ Luton
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Cardiff
5–2
W
17 Feb
@ Leyton Orient
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wigan and Plymouth.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Wigan vs Plymouth?
On our numbers Wigan have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Plymouth 39%.
How many goals will there be in Wigan vs Plymouth?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wigan vs Plymouth?
Our predicted score is Wigan 1–1 Plymouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Wigan vs Plymouth?
Wigan vs Plymouth (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Brick Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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