Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Lincoln to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLincoln to win ✓63% · @1.83
Double chanceLincoln or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Exeter City vs Lincoln preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Exeter City take on Lincoln on Tuesday 10 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at St James Park.
Form guide
Exeter City's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Burton Albion 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Lincoln's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Cardiff 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lincoln arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Exeter City and 1.8 for Lincoln. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Exeter City 17%, draw 21%, Lincoln 63%.
Safer route: Lincoln or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Lincoln to win at 1.83 – 63% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lincoln or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Exeter City 0–1 Lincoln. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Exeter City17%fair 6.06 · @4.20
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Lincoln63%fair 1.59 · @1.83
2.50Expected goals
0.74Exeter City xG
1.76Lincoln xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Exeter City 0.7 – 1.8 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lincoln to win✓
63%
1.59
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Lincoln or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Lincoln ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lincoln / FT Lincoln✓
39%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.62
–
Form
Exeter City – last 3
DDD
3 Mar
vs Burton Albion
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Peterborough
3–3
D
17 Feb
vs Wycombe
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lincoln – last 3
WWW
7 Mar
@ Cardiff
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Mansfield Town
2–0
W
17 Feb
vs Northampton
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Exeter City and Lincoln.
What is the prediction for Exeter City vs Lincoln?
Our pick is Lincoln or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Exeter City vs Lincoln?
On our numbers Exeter City have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lincoln 63%.
How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Lincoln?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Lincoln?
Our predicted score is Exeter City 0–1 Lincoln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Exeter City vs Lincoln?
Exeter City vs Lincoln (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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