Blackpool travel to The Cherry Red Records Stadium in the League One on Wednesday 11 March (20:45 WAT) to face AFC Wimbledon. AFC Wimbledon are 18th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Blackpool sit 19th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AFC Wimbledon's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Northampton 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for AFC Wimbledon and 1.1 for Blackpool. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Wimbledon 47%, draw 22%, Blackpool 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Blackpool. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Wimbledon47%fair 2.12 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.25
Blackpool31%fair 3.26 · @3.30
2.58Expected goals
1.47AFC Wimbledon xG
1.11Blackpool xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: AFC Wimbledon 1.5 – 1.1 Blackpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Wimbledon to win✓
47%
2.12
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Wimbledon / FT AFC Wimbledon✓
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.01
–
Form
AFC Wimbledon – last 3
WWL
8 Mar
vs Northampton
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Bradford
3–1
W
17 Feb
@ Cardiff
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Blackpool – last 2
DW
21 Feb
@ Bolton
2–2
D
17 Feb
vs Mansfield Town
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool.
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
On our numbers AFC Wimbledon have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Blackpool 31%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
Our predicted score is AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Blackpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool (League One) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.