Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 3.15 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBradford to win ✓43% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.16
Port Vale vs Bradford preview and prediction
The match
Port Vale host Bradford in the League One on Wednesday 11 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Vale Park.
Form guide
Port Vale's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Sunderland 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bradford's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Rotherham 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Port Vale and 1.2 for Bradford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Port Vale 35%, draw 22%, Bradford 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Port Vale to win at 3.15 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Port Vale 1–1 Bradford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Port Vale35%fair 2.87 · @3.15
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Bradford43%fair 2.33 · @2.28
2.31Expected goals
1.07Port Vale xG
1.24Bradford xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Port Vale 1.1 – 1.2 Bradford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bradford to win✓
43%
2.33
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bradford / FT Bradford✓
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.16
–
Form
Port Vale – last 5
WDWDL
8 Mar
vs Sunderland
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Bristol City
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Northampton
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Reading
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Stevenage
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Bradford – last 3
WLW
24 Feb
vs Rotherham
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ AFC Wimbledon
1–3
L
17 Feb
vs Stockport County
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Bradford.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Port Vale vs Bradford?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bradford 43%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Bradford?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Bradford?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 1–1 Bradford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Bradford?
Port Vale vs Bradford (League One) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
