Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortsmouth to win ✗46% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.97
Portsmouth vs Swansea preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Portsmouth take on Swansea on Tuesday 10 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Fratton Park. Portsmouth are 11th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Swansea sit 6th on 26 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Portsmouth's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Blackburn 1–1 away. They average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Portsmouth and 1.0 for Swansea. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Portsmouth 1–1 Swansea. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portsmouth46%fair 2.17 · @2.16
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Swansea32%fair 3.13 · @3.25
2.36Expected goals
1.32Portsmouth xG
1.03Swansea xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Portsmouth 1.3 – 1.0 Swansea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portsmouth to win✗
46%
2.17
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portsmouth / FT Portsmouth✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.97
–
Form
Portsmouth – last 5
DLLWW
7 Mar
@ Blackburn
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Hull City
0–1
L
24 Feb
@ Wrexham
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Millwall
3–1
W
17 Feb
@ Charlton
3–1
W
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Swansea – last 2
DW
24 Feb
vs Preston
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Bristol City
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portsmouth and Swansea.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Swansea?
On our numbers Portsmouth have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Swansea 32%.
How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs Swansea?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Swansea?
Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1–1 Swansea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Portsmouth vs Swansea?
Portsmouth vs Swansea (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Fratton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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