Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStoke City to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceStoke City or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.39
Stoke City vs Oxford United preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Stoke City take on Oxford United on Wednesday 25 February, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Bet365 Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Stoke City and 0.7 for Oxford United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stoke City 59%, draw 21%, Oxford United 20%.
Safer route: Stoke City or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Stoke City or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Stoke City 1–0 Oxford United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stoke City59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.30
Oxford United20%fair 5.09 · @4.50
2.22Expected goals
1.51Stoke City xG
0.70Oxford United xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Stoke City 1.5 – 0.7 Oxford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stoke City to win✓
59%
1.69
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Stoke City or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stoke City / FT Stoke City✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.39
–
Form
Stoke City – last 2
DL
21 Feb
vs Leicester
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Fulham
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Oxford United – last 2
DL
21 Feb
@ Middlesbrough
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Sunderland
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stoke City and Oxford United.
What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Oxford United?
Our pick is Stoke City or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Stoke City vs Oxford United?
On our numbers Stoke City have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Oxford United 20%.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Oxford United?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Oxford United?
Our predicted score is Stoke City 1–0 Oxford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Stoke City vs Oxford United?
Stoke City vs Oxford United (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Bet365 Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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