Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChesterfield to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceChesterfield or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.11
Chesterfield vs Cheltenham preview and prediction
The match
Cheltenham travel to SMH Group Stadium in the League Two on Friday 3 April (15:00 WAT) to face Chesterfield. Chesterfield are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Cheltenham sit 5th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chesterfield's last 4: LWDW Most recently they lost to Oldham 0–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cheltenham's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Crewe 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Chesterfield and 0.9 for Cheltenham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Chesterfield to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Chesterfield 1–0 Cheltenham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesterfield62%fair 1.61 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @4.00
Cheltenham19%fair 5.33 · @5.00
2.87Expected goals
1.94Chesterfield xG
0.93Cheltenham xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.9 – 0.9 Cheltenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Double chance
Chesterfield or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Chesterfield ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✓
39%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.11
–
Form
Chesterfield – last 4
LWDW
17 Mar
vs Oldham
0–3
L
3 Mar
vs Colchester
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Crawley Town
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Gillingham
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cheltenham – last 6
DDDDWD
17 Mar
vs Crewe
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Fleetwood Town
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Barrow
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ Harrogate Town
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Salford City
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Bromley
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Cheltenham.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Cheltenham?
Our pick is Chesterfield to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Cheltenham?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Cheltenham 19%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Cheltenham?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Cheltenham?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–0 Cheltenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Cheltenham?
Chesterfield vs Cheltenham (League Two) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.