Value bet: Fleetwood Town to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBristol Rovers to win ✓45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 8.98
Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Bristol Rovers take on Fleetwood Town on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Memorial Stadium. Bristol Rovers are 17th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Fleetwood Town sit 16th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bristol Rovers's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Shrewsbury 1–0 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fleetwood Town's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Grimsby 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Bristol Rovers and 1.1 for Fleetwood Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bristol Rovers 45%, draw 22%, Fleetwood Town 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Fleetwood Town to win at 3.25 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Bristol Rovers 1–1 Fleetwood Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bristol Rovers45%fair 2.24 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Fleetwood Town33%fair 3.01 · @3.25
2.52Expected goals
1.38Bristol Rovers xG
1.14Fleetwood Town xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Bristol Rovers 1.4 – 1.1 Fleetwood Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol Rovers to win✓
45%
2.24
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
8.98
–
Form
Bristol Rovers – last 5
WWDWL
17 Mar
vs Shrewsbury
1–0
W
10 Mar
@ Barrow
2–0
W
28 Feb
@ Swindon Town
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Grimsby
3–1
W
17 Feb
@ Oldham
0–2
L
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town – last 5
LDWWW
17 Mar
@ Grimsby
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs Cheltenham
2–2
D
3 Mar
@ Walsall
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Barrow
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Crewe
1–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol Rovers and Fleetwood Town.
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?
On our numbers Bristol Rovers have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fleetwood Town 33%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?
Our predicted score is Bristol Rovers 1–1 Fleetwood Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?
Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town (League Two) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bromley2
Harrogate Town3
Milton Keynes Dons0
Barrow0
Notts County1