Colchester travel to SMH Group Stadium in the League Two on Tuesday 3 March (20:45 WAT) to face Chesterfield. Chesterfield are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Colchester sit 23rd on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.7 for Chesterfield and 1.1 for Colchester. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Chesterfield 1–1 Colchester. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesterfield47%fair 2.15 · @2.22
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.15
Colchester30%fair 3.39 · @3.30
2.73Expected goals
1.68Chesterfield xG
1.05Colchester xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.7 – 1.1 Colchester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Chesterfield
Colchester
Attack vs League Two average
+17%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.96
1.00
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✓
47%
2.15
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✓
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.14
–
Form
Chesterfield – last 2
DW
21 Feb
@ Crawley Town
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Gillingham
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Colchester – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Barnet
4–1
W
17 Feb
@ Cambridge United
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Colchester.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Colchester?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Colchester?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Colchester 30%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Colchester?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Colchester?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–1 Colchester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Colchester?
Chesterfield vs Colchester (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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