Newport County host Tranmere in the League Two on Tuesday 3 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Rodney Parade. Newport County are 14th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Tranmere sit 11th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Newport County and 1.2 for Tranmere. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newport County 38%, draw 27%, Tranmere 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Newport County 1–1 Tranmere. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newport County38%fair 2.61 · @2.72
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.25
Tranmere35%fair 2.87 · @2.54
2.66Expected goals
1.50Newport County xG
1.16Tranmere xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Newport County 1.5 – 1.2 Tranmere expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Newport County
Tranmere
Attack vs League Two average
-2%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.57
0.99
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newport County to win✓
38%
2.61
2.72
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newport County / FT Newport County✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.55
–
Form
Newport County – last 2
LW
21 Feb
vs Cambridge United
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Salford City
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tranmere – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Notts County
0–5
L
17 Feb
vs Accrington ST
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newport County and Tranmere.
What is the prediction for Newport County vs Tranmere?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Newport County vs Tranmere?
On our numbers Newport County have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tranmere 35%.
How many goals will there be in Newport County vs Tranmere?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport County vs Tranmere?
Our predicted score is Newport County 1–1 Tranmere, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Newport County vs Tranmere?
Newport County vs Tranmere (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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