Radomlje host Maribor in the 1. SNL on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Športni Park. Radomlje are 10th with 8 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Maribor sit 2nd on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Radomlje's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Primorje 3–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Maribor's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Koper 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.1 for Radomlje and 2.2 for Maribor. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Radomlje 18%, draw 19%, Maribor 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Radomlje 1–2 Maribor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Radomlje18%fair 5.49 · @6.00
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @4.45
Maribor63%fair 1.59 · @1.43
3.26Expected goals
1.08Radomlje xG
2.18Maribor xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Radomlje 1.1 – 2.2 Maribor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maribor to win
63%
1.59
1.43
Double chance
Maribor or draw
82%
1.22
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
57%
1.77
1.73
Half-time result
Maribor ahead at half-time
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maribor / FT Maribor
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.15
–
Form
Radomlje – last 6
WLWLDD
26 Apr
@ Primorje
3–2
W
22 Apr
vs Brinje-Grosuplje
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Aluminij
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Bravo
1–3
L
4 Mar
@ Dekani
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Koper
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Maribor – last 5
LDDWW
14 Apr
@ Koper
1–3
L
20 Mar
@ Aluminij
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Bravo
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Primorje
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Radomlje and Maribor.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Radomlje vs Maribor?
On our numbers Radomlje have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Maribor 63%.
How many goals will there be in Radomlje vs Maribor?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Radomlje vs Maribor?
Our predicted score is Radomlje 1–2 Maribor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Radomlje vs Maribor?
Radomlje vs Maribor (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Športni Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
