Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Koper to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKoper to win ✓65% · @1.80
Double chanceKoper or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.26
Mura vs Koper preview and prediction
The match
Mura host Koper in the 1. SNL on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija. Mura are 9th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Koper sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mura's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Celje 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Koper's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Maribor 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Koper arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Koper 3–0 Mura.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Mura and 2.1 for Koper. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mura 17%, draw 19%, Koper 65%.
Safer route: Koper or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Koper to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Mura 0–2 Koper. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mura17%fair 6.05 · @3.85
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @3.70
Koper65%fair 1.55 · @1.80
2.99Expected goals
0.92Mura xG
2.07Koper xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Mura 0.9 – 2.1 Koper expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mura vs Koper?
On our numbers Mura have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Koper 65%.
How many goals will there be in Mura vs Koper?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mura vs Koper?
Our predicted score is Mura 0–2 Koper, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Mura vs Koper?
Mura vs Koper (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
