Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.68 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.68Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✓65% · @1.68
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.83
HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica preview and prediction
The match
HNK Rijeka host HNK Gorica in the HNL on Saturday 23 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadion HNK Rijeka. HNK Rijeka are 6th with 18 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while HNK Gorica sit 10th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
HNK Rijeka's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Istra 1961 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
HNK Gorica's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Istra 1961 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
HNK Gorica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished HNK Gorica 4–0 HNK Rijeka.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for HNK Rijeka and 0.7 for HNK Gorica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: HNK Rijeka 65%, draw 23%, HNK Gorica 12%.
Safer route: HNK Rijeka or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was HNK Rijeka to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: HNK Rijeka 1–0 HNK Gorica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Rijeka65%fair 1.53 · @1.68
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.70
HNK Gorica12%fair 8.66 · @4.45
2.56Expected goals
1.88HNK Rijeka xG
0.67HNK Gorica xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 1.9 – 0.7 HNK Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?
Our pick is HNK Rijeka to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and HNK Gorica 12%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 1–0 HNK Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?
HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
