Value bet: NK Slaven Belupo to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Osijek to win ✓44% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.01
NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo preview and prediction
The match
NK Slaven Belupo travel to Opus Arena in the HNL on Friday 22 May (15:00 WAT) to face NK Osijek. NK Osijek are 3rd with 20 points from 13 games (in the top four), while NK Slaven Belupo sit 7th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
NK Osijek's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Istra 1961 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
NK Slaven Belupo's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Dinamo Zagreb 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
NK Osijek arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished NK Slaven Belupo 0–0 NK Osijek.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for NK Osijek and 1.2 for NK Slaven Belupo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: NK Osijek 44%, draw 21%, NK Slaven Belupo 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: NK Slaven Belupo to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: NK Osijek 1–1 NK Slaven Belupo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Osijek44%fair 2.27 · @2.08
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.40
NK Slaven Belupo35%fair 2.85 · @3.20
2.66Expected goals
1.43NK Osijek xG
1.23NK Slaven Belupo xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: NK Osijek 1.4 – 1.2 NK Slaven Belupo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?
On our numbers NK Osijek have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NK Slaven Belupo 35%.
How many goals will there be in NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our predicted score is NK Osijek 1–1 NK Slaven Belupo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?
NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo (HNL) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Opus Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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