Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓76% · @1.17
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.02
HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees HNK Hajduk Split take on Vukovar on Friday 22 May, kicking off at 17:15 (WAT) at Stadion Poljud.
Form guide
HNK Hajduk Split's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to NK Osijek 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Vukovar's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to HNK Rijeka 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
HNK Hajduk Split arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.4 for HNK Hajduk Split and 0.6 for Vukovar. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 Vukovar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Hajduk Split76%fair 1.31 · @1.17
Draw17%fair 5.81 · @5.75
Vukovar7%fair 15.19 · @15.50
3.00Expected goals
2.40HNK Hajduk Split xG
0.61Vukovar xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–012%
3–011%
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 2.4 – 0.6 Vukovar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Hajduk Split to win✓
76%
1.31
1.17
Double chance
HNK Hajduk Split or draw✓
93%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.67
Half-time result
HNK Hajduk Split ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split✓
53%
1.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.02
–
Form
HNK Hajduk Split – last 6
LDWWLW
21 Apr
vs NK Osijek
0–1
L
17 Apr
@ NK Slaven Belupo
2–2
D
7 Apr
@ Istra 1961
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs HNK Rijeka
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Vukovar – last 6
LLLDLL
8 May
@ HNK Rijeka
0–3
L
22 Apr
vs HNK Gorica
1–2
L
13 Apr
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–4
L
7 Apr
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ NK Varazdin
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs HNK Rijeka
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Hajduk Split and Vukovar.
What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Vukovar 7%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 Vukovar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar (HNL) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
