Value bet: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win @ 2.38 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win ✗46% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Vukovar vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb preview and prediction
The match
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb travel to Stadion Gradski vrt in the HNL on Tuesday 7 April (14:45 WAT) to face Vukovar.
Form guide
Vukovar's last 4: LLDD Most recently they lost to NK Varazdin 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to HNK Hajduk Split 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Vukovar and 1.6 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vukovar 32%, draw 22%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win at 2.38 – 46% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Vukovar 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vukovar32%fair 3.16 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb46%fair 2.16 · @2.38
2.78Expected goals
1.23Vukovar xG
1.55NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Vukovar 1.2 – 1.6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win✗
46%
2.16
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Lokomotiva Zagreb / FT NK Lokomotiva Zagreb✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Form
Vukovar – last 4
LLDD
13 Mar
@ NK Varazdin
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs HNK Rijeka
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs NK Slaven Belupo
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ HNK Gorica
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – last 4
LLWL
15 Mar
@ HNK Hajduk Split
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ HNK Rijeka
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs NK Osijek
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ NK Slaven Belupo
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vukovar and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
What is the prediction for Vukovar vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Vukovar vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
On our numbers Vukovar have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 46%.
How many goals will there be in Vukovar vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vukovar vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our predicted score is Vukovar 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Vukovar vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Vukovar vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (HNL) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gradski vrt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
