Value bet: NK Osijek to win @ 3.35 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Slaven Belupo to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.90
NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Osijek preview and prediction
The match
NK Slaven Belupo host NK Osijek in the HNL on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas. NK Slaven Belupo are 7th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while NK Osijek sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
NK Slaven Belupo's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Istra 1961 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
NK Osijek's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Istra 1961 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
NK Slaven Belupo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for NK Slaven Belupo and 1.1 for NK Osijek. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: NK Slaven Belupo 44%, draw 24%, NK Osijek 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: NK Osijek to win at 3.35 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: NK Slaven Belupo 1–1 NK Osijek. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Slaven Belupo44%fair 2.29 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.82
NK Osijek32%fair 3.11 · @3.35
2.50Expected goals
1.37NK Slaven Belupo xG
1.13NK Osijek xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: NK Slaven Belupo 1.4 – 1.1 NK Osijek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NK Slaven Belupo to win✗
44%
2.29
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Slaven Belupo / FT NK Slaven Belupo✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.90
–
Form
NK Slaven Belupo – last 3
WDW
27 Feb
vs Istra 1961
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Vukovar
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
NK Osijek – last 3
WLL
6 Mar
@ Istra 1961
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs HNK Hajduk Split
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NK Slaven Belupo and NK Osijek.
What is the prediction for NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Osijek?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Osijek?
On our numbers NK Slaven Belupo have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and NK Osijek 32%.
How many goals will there be in NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Osijek?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Osijek?
Our predicted score is NK Slaven Belupo 1–1 NK Osijek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Osijek?
NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Osijek (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
