Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Montrose to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMontrose to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceMontrose or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.84
Montrose vs Kelty Hearts preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Montrose take on Kelty Hearts on Tuesday 3 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Links Park.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Montrose and 1.0 for Kelty Hearts. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Montrose to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Montrose or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Montrose 2–0 Kelty Hearts. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montrose61%fair 1.65 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.25
Kelty Hearts16%fair 6.20 · @3.90
3.02Expected goals
2.04Montrose xG
0.98Kelty Hearts xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Montrose 2.0 – 1.0 Kelty Hearts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Montrose
Kelty Hearts
Attack vs League One average
-1%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-3%
Our expected goals here
2.09
1.00
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montrose to win✗
61%
1.65
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Montrose or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Montrose ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montrose / FT Montrose✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.84
–
Form
Montrose – last 2
WL
21 Feb
vs Queen of the South
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Cove Rangers
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Kelty Hearts – last 1
D
21 Feb
@ Cove Rangers
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montrose and Kelty Hearts.
What is the prediction for Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?
Our pick is Montrose or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?
On our numbers Montrose have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kelty Hearts 16%.
How many goals will there be in Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?
Our predicted score is Montrose 2–0 Kelty Hearts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?
Montrose vs Kelty Hearts (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Links Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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