Value bet: Hamilton Academical to win @ 2.80 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHamilton Academical to win ✗43% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.29
Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir preview and prediction
The match
Stenhousemuir travel to ZLX Stadium in the League One on Tuesday 3 March (21:00 WAT) to face Hamilton Academical.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.4 for Hamilton Academical and 0.9 for Stenhousemuir. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hamilton Academical 43%, draw 25%, Stenhousemuir 33%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Hamilton Academical to win at 2.80 – 43% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Hamilton Academical 1–0 Stenhousemuir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hamilton Academical43%fair 2.35 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.20
Stenhousemuir33%fair 3.06 · @2.40
2.35Expected goals
1.43Hamilton Academical xG
0.91Stenhousemuir xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Hamilton Academical 1.4 – 0.9 Stenhousemuir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Hamilton Academical
Stenhousemuir
Attack vs League One average
+15%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-29%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.57
0.74
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hamilton Academical to win✗
43%
2.35
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hamilton Academical / FT Hamilton Academical✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.29
–
Form
Hamilton Academical – last 2
LW
21 Feb
@ Alloa Athletic
0–3
L
17 Feb
vs East Fife
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stenhousemuir – last 1
D
21 Feb
@ Inverness CT
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamilton Academical and Stenhousemuir.
What is the prediction for Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?
On our numbers Hamilton Academical have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Stenhousemuir 33%.
How many goals will there be in Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?
Our predicted score is Hamilton Academical 1–0 Stenhousemuir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?
Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at ZLX Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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