Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.27Odds
1
Value bet: Ayr Utd to win @ 1.88 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAyr Utd to win ✗60% · @1.88
Double chanceAyr Utd or draw ✓85% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.41
Ayr Utd vs Ross County preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Ayr Utd take on Ross County on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Somerset Park.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Ayr Utd and 0.8 for Ross County. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ayr Utd 60%, draw 24%, Ross County 15%.
Safer route: Ayr Utd or draw (85%) at 1.27.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.78.
Value angle: Ayr Utd to win at 1.88 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ayr Utd or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.27, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ayr Utd 1–0 Ross County. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ayr Utd60%fair 1.66 · @1.88
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.30
Ross County15%fair 6.46 · @3.40
2.58Expected goals
1.79Ayr Utd xG
0.80Ross County xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ayr Utd 1.8 – 0.8 Ross County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ayr Utd to win✗
60%
1.66
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Ayr Utd or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.27 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.78
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.31
Half-time result
Ayr Utd ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ayr Utd / FT Ayr Utd✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.41
–
Form
Ayr Utd
No recent results on record.
Ross County
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ayr Utd and Ross County.
What is the prediction for Ayr Utd vs Ross County?
Our pick is Ayr Utd or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Ayr Utd vs Ross County?
On our numbers Ayr Utd have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ross County 15%.
How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs Ross County?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Ross County?
Our predicted score is Ayr Utd 1–0 Ross County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ayr Utd vs Ross County?
Ayr Utd vs Ross County (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Somerset Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Airdrie United0