Arbroath host Dunfermline in the Championship on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Gayfield Park. Arbroath are 8th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Dunfermline sit 3rd on 25 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Arbroath and 1.2 for Dunfermline. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Arbroath 1–1 Dunfermline. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arbroath39%fair 2.57 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Dunfermline37%fair 2.71 · @2.85
2.46Expected goals
1.25Arbroath xG
1.21Dunfermline xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Arbroath 1.3 – 1.2 Dunfermline expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arbroath to win✓
39%
2.57
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.87
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.23
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arbroath / FT Arbroath✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.38
–
Form
Arbroath
No recent results on record.
Dunfermline – last 1
L
17 Feb
@ Morton
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arbroath and Dunfermline.
What is the prediction for Arbroath vs Dunfermline?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Arbroath vs Dunfermline?
On our numbers Arbroath have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dunfermline 37%.
How many goals will there be in Arbroath vs Dunfermline?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arbroath vs Dunfermline?
Our predicted score is Arbroath 1–1 Dunfermline, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Arbroath vs Dunfermline?
Arbroath vs Dunfermline (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Gayfield Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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