Value bet: Union St. Gilloise to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✗65% · @1.70
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.72
KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise preview and prediction
The match
The Jupiler Pro League sees KVC Westerlo take on Union St. Gilloise on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Het Kuipje. KVC Westerlo are 9th with 14 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Union St. Gilloise sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for KVC Westerlo and 1.9 for Union St. Gilloise. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: KVC Westerlo 15%, draw 20%, Union St. Gilloise 65%.
Safer route: Union St. Gilloise or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Union St. Gilloise to win at 1.70 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: KVC Westerlo 0–2 Union St. Gilloise. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KVC Westerlo15%fair 6.81 · @4.50
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.80
Union St. Gilloise65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
2.70Expected goals
0.77KVC Westerlo xG
1.92Union St. Gilloise xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: KVC Westerlo 0.8 – 1.9 Union St. Gilloise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✗
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.44
Half-time result
Union St. Gilloise ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.72
–
Form
KVC Westerlo – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Charleroi
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Antwerp
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Union St. Gilloise
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KVC Westerlo and Union St. Gilloise.
What is the prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise?
On our numbers KVC Westerlo have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Union St. Gilloise 65%.
How many goals will there be in KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our predicted score is KVC Westerlo 0–2 Union St. Gilloise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise?
KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Het Kuipje.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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