Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGenk to win ✓60% · @1.70
Double chanceGenk or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.78
Genk vs Gent preview and prediction
The match
Genk host Gent in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Cegeka Arena. Genk are 7th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Gent sit 3rd on 28 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Genk's last 4: LLWW Most recently they lost to Dinamo Zagreb 1–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Genk and 1.0 for Gent. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Genk 60%, draw 24%, Gent 16%.
Safer route: Genk or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Genk or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Genk 2–0 Gent. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Genk60%fair 1.67 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.95
Gent16%fair 6.16 · @4.33
2.98Expected goals
2.00Genk xG
0.97Gent xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Genk 2.0 – 1.0 Gent expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Genk to win✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Double chance
Genk or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.48
Half-time result
Genk ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Genk / FT Genk✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.78
–
Form
Genk – last 4
LLWW
26 Feb
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Standard Liege
0–3
L
19 Feb
@ Dinamo Zagreb
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ KV Mechelen
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gent – last 1
L
20 Feb
vs Cercle Brugge
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Genk and Gent.
Our pick is Genk or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Genk vs Gent?
On our numbers Genk have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gent 16%.
How many goals will there be in Genk vs Gent?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genk vs Gent?
Our predicted score is Genk 2–0 Gent, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Genk vs Gent?
Genk vs Gent (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Cegeka Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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