Genk host Standard Liege in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Cegeka Arena. Genk are 7th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Standard Liege sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Genk and 0.7 for Standard Liege. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Genk 64%, draw 22%, Standard Liege 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Genk 2–0 Standard Liege. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Genk64%fair 1.56 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.10
Standard Liege14%fair 7.38 · @6.50
2.64Expected goals
1.89Genk xG
0.75Standard Liege xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Genk 1.9 – 0.7 Standard Liege expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Genk to win✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Double chance
Genk or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Half-time result
Genk ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Genk / FT Genk✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.40
–
Form
Genk – last 2
WW
19 Feb
@ Dinamo Zagreb
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ KV Mechelen
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Standard Liege
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Genk and Standard Liege.
What is the prediction for Genk vs Standard Liege?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Genk vs Standard Liege?
On our numbers Genk have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Standard Liege 14%.
How many goals will there be in Genk vs Standard Liege?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genk vs Standard Liege?
Our predicted score is Genk 2–0 Standard Liege, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Genk vs Standard Liege?
Genk vs Standard Liege (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Cegeka Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
