Value bet: Charleroi to win @ 2.95 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharleroi to win ✗40% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.21
KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi preview and prediction
The match
KVC Westerlo host Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Het Kuipje. KVC Westerlo are 9th with 14 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Charleroi sit 4th on 27 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for KVC Westerlo and 1.4 for Charleroi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Charleroi to win at 2.95 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: KVC Westerlo 1–1 Charleroi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KVC Westerlo36%fair 2.78 · @2.33
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.35
Charleroi40%fair 2.49 · @2.95
2.78Expected goals
1.34KVC Westerlo xG
1.44Charleroi xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: KVC Westerlo 1.3 – 1.4 Charleroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charleroi to win✗
40%
2.49
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charleroi / FT Charleroi✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.21
–
Form
KVC Westerlo – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Antwerp
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Charleroi
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KVC Westerlo and Charleroi.
What is the prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?
On our numbers KVC Westerlo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Charleroi 40%.
How many goals will there be in KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?
Our predicted score is KVC Westerlo 1–1 Charleroi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?
KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Het Kuipje.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
