Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmere City FC to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Almere City FC vs Waalwijk preview and prediction
The match
Waalwijk travel to Yanmar Stadion in the Eerste Divisie on Tuesday 17 March (20:00 WAT) to face Almere City FC. Almere City FC are 9th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while Waalwijk sit 12th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Almere City FC's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Vitesse 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Waalwijk's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Jong AZ 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Waalwijk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.9 for Almere City FC and 1.4 for Waalwijk. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Almere City FC 46%, draw 21%, Waalwijk 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Almere City FC 2–1 Waalwijk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almere City FC46%fair 2.18 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.90
Waalwijk33%fair 3.06 · @3.20
3.33Expected goals
1.90Almere City FC xG
1.43Waalwijk xG
69%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Almere City FC 1.9 – 1.4 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Almere City FC
Waalwijk
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+17%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.89
1.29
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almere City FC to win✗
46%
2.18
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.80
Half-time result
Almere City FC ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almere City FC / FT Almere City FC✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Form
Almere City FC – last 5
WLWLL
13 Mar
@ Vitesse
3–1
W
3 Mar
@ Cambuur
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Jong Utrecht
3–2
W
21 Feb
@ FC Eindhoven
2–3
L
13 Feb
vs Helmond Sport
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Waalwijk – last 5
WWWDL
13 Mar
vs Jong AZ
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ VVV Venlo
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs FC Eindhoven
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Cambuur
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Roda
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almere City FC and Waalwijk.
What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs Waalwijk?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Almere City FC vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers Almere City FC have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Waalwijk 33%.
How many goals will there be in Almere City FC vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almere City FC vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is Almere City FC 2–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Almere City FC vs Waalwijk?
Almere City FC vs Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO Den Haag1