Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoda to win ✗52% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Roda vs Vitesse preview and prediction
The match
Roda host Vitesse in the Eerste Divisie on Monday 16 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion. Roda are 14th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Vitesse sit 15th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Roda's last 4: DLDW Most recently they drew with Cambuur 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Vitesse's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Almere City FC 1–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Roda and 1.2 for Vitesse. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Roda 52%, draw 22%, Vitesse 26%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Roda 1–1 Vitesse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Roda52%fair 1.93 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.95
Vitesse26%fair 3.90 · @3.40
2.83Expected goals
1.59Roda xG
1.24Vitesse xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
2–07%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Roda 1.6 – 1.2 Vitesse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Roda
Vitesse
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-19%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.22
1.13
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roda to win✗
52%
1.93
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.57
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roda / FT Roda✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.64
–
Form
Roda – last 4
DLDW
13 Mar
@ Cambuur
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Jong PSV U21
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Den Bosch
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ Waalwijk
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vitesse – last 4
LWWL
13 Mar
vs Almere City FC
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ De Graafschap
4–1
W
27 Feb
vs Jong AZ
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Willem II
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roda and Vitesse.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Roda vs Vitesse?
On our numbers Roda have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vitesse 26%.
How many goals will there be in Roda vs Vitesse?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roda vs Vitesse?
Our predicted score is Roda 1–1 Vitesse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Roda vs Vitesse?
Roda vs Vitesse (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1