Jong AZ host Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie on Monday 23 February, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at AFAS Trainingscomplex. Jong AZ are 19th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while Den Bosch sit 3rd on 0 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.9 for Jong AZ and 1.8 for Den Bosch. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 68%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong AZ 42%, draw 23%, Den Bosch 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Jong AZ 2–1 Den Bosch. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong AZ42%fair 2.37 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.80
Den Bosch35%fair 2.88 · @2.95
3.67Expected goals
1.90Jong AZ xG
1.77Den Bosch xG
68%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Jong AZ 1.9 – 1.8 Den Bosch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Jong AZ
Den Bosch
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+19%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+28%
-7%
Our expected goals here
2.01
1.92
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jong AZ to win✗
42%
2.37
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.75
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong AZ / FT Jong AZ✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.27
–
Form
Jong AZ – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ FC OSS
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Den Bosch
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong AZ and Den Bosch.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Jong AZ vs Den Bosch?
On our numbers Jong AZ have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Den Bosch 35%.
How many goals will there be in Jong AZ vs Den Bosch?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong AZ vs Den Bosch?
Our predicted score is Jong AZ 2–1 Den Bosch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Jong AZ vs Den Bosch?
Jong AZ vs Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Trainingscomplex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
