Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEmmen to win ✗60% · @1.53
Double chanceEmmen or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Emmen vs Jong Ajax preview and prediction
The match
Emmen host Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie on Monday 23 February, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at De Oude Meerdijk. Emmen are 6th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while Jong Ajax sit 18th on 0 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.1 for Emmen and 1.4 for Jong Ajax. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Emmen 60%, draw 20%, Jong Ajax 20%.
Safer route: Emmen or draw (80%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Emmen 2–1 Jong Ajax. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Emmen60%fair 1.68 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.50
Jong Ajax20%fair 5.03 · @5.20
3.57Expected goals
2.15Emmen xG
1.42Jong Ajax xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
2–27%
2–07%
1–26%
From our goals model: Emmen 2.1 – 1.4 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Emmen
Jong Ajax
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-3%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
+17%
+23%
Our expected goals here
2.14
1.67
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Emmen to win✗
60%
1.68
1.53
Double chance
Emmen or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.77
Half-time result
Emmen ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Emmen / FT Emmen✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Form
Emmen – last 2
LL
20 Feb
vs Jong PSV U21
2–3
L
13 Feb
@ Dordrecht
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jong Ajax – last 2
WL
20 Feb
@ Dordrecht
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Cambuur
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emmen and Jong Ajax.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Emmen vs Jong Ajax?
On our numbers Emmen have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jong Ajax 20%.
How many goals will there be in Emmen vs Jong Ajax?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emmen vs Jong Ajax?
Our predicted score is Emmen 2–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Emmen vs Jong Ajax?
Emmen vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
