Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.93 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.93Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWillem II to win ✓62% · @1.93
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Willem II vs Vitesse preview and prediction
The match
The Eerste Divisie sees Willem II take on Vitesse on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Koning Willem II Stadion.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Willem II and 1.0 for Vitesse. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Willem II 62%, draw 15%, Vitesse 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Willem II to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.93, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Willem II 2–1 Vitesse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Willem II62%fair 1.61 · @1.93
Draw15%fair 6.67 · @3.70
Vitesse23%fair 4.36 · @3.30
2.99Expected goals
1.95Willem II xG
1.03Vitesse xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Willem II 2.0 – 1.0 Vitesse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Willem II to win✓
62%
1.61
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.51
Half-time result
Willem II ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Willem II / FT Willem II✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Willem II – last 1
D
16 Feb
@ Jong Utrecht
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Vitesse
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Willem II and Vitesse.
Our pick is Willem II to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.93.
Who will win Willem II vs Vitesse?
On our numbers Willem II have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Vitesse 23%.
How many goals will there be in Willem II vs Vitesse?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs Vitesse?
Our predicted score is Willem II 2–1 Vitesse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Willem II vs Vitesse?
Willem II vs Vitesse (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag3