De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
De Graafschap or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDe Graafschap to win ✓62% · @1.65
Double chanceDe Graafschap or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.43
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht preview and prediction
The match
De Graafschap host Jong Utrecht in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 20 February, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at De Vijverberg. De Graafschap are 1st with 0 points from 0 games (top of the table), while Jong Utrecht sit 20th on 0 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for De Graafschap and 1.2 for Jong Utrecht. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: De Graafschap 62%, draw 20%, Jong Utrecht 18%.
Safer route: De Graafschap or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.43.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was De Graafschap or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: De Graafschap 2–1 Jong Utrecht. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
De Graafschap62%fair 1.62 · @1.65
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @4.10
Jong Utrecht18%fair 5.58 · @4.00
3.45Expected goals
2.28De Graafschap xG
1.17Jong Utrecht xG
67%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: De Graafschap 2.3 – 1.2 Jong Utrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
De Graafschap to win✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Double chance
De Graafschap or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.43
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.37
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.75
Half-time result
De Graafschap ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT De Graafschap / FT De Graafschap✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Form
De Graafschap – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ Jong PSV U21
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Jong Utrecht – last 1
D
16 Feb
vs Willem II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between De Graafschap and Jong Utrecht.
What is the prediction for De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht?
Our pick is De Graafschap or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht?
On our numbers De Graafschap have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jong Utrecht 18%.
How many goals will there be in De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht?
Our predicted score is De Graafschap 2–1 Jong Utrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht?
De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at De Vijverberg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag3
Willem II3