Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów preview and prediction
The match
Ruch Chorzów travel to Stadion ROSRRiT in the I Liga on Friday 13 February (21:00 WAT) to face Pogoń Siedlce. Pogoń Siedlce are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Ruch Chorzów sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Pogoń Siedlce and 1.4 for Ruch Chorzów. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pogoń Siedlce 35%, draw 24%, Ruch Chorzów 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Ruch Chorzów. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogoń Siedlce35%fair 2.82 · @2.84
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.20
Ruch Chorzów40%fair 2.47 · @2.36
2.63Expected goals
1.26Pogoń Siedlce xG
1.37Ruch Chorzów xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 1.3 – 1.4 Ruch Chorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ruch Chorzów to win✗
40%
2.47
2.36
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ruch Chorzów / FT Ruch Chorzów✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Pogoń Siedlce
No recent results on record.
Ruch Chorzów
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Siedlce and Ruch Chorzów.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?
On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ruch Chorzów 40%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Ruch Chorzów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Górnik Łęczna1