Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Górnik Łęczna or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Górnik Łęczna to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGórnik Łęczna to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceGórnik Łęczna or draw ✓81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec preview and prediction
The match
Stal Mielec travel to Bogdanka Arena in the I Liga on Friday 13 February (18:00 WAT) to face Górnik Łęczna.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Górnik Łęczna and 1.1 for Stal Mielec. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Górnik Łęczna 59%, draw 22%, Stal Mielec 19%.
Safer route: Górnik Łęczna or draw (81%) at 1.28.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Górnik Łęczna to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Górnik Łęczna or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Górnik Łęczna 2–1 Stal Mielec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Górnik Łęczna59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.45
Stal Mielec19%fair 5.19 · @3.50
3.12Expected goals
2.03Górnik Łęczna xG
1.08Stal Mielec xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Górnik Łęczna 2.0 – 1.1 Stal Mielec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Górnik Łęczna to win✗
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Górnik Łęczna or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Half-time result
Górnik Łęczna ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Górnik Łęczna / FT Górnik Łęczna✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Górnik Łęczna
No recent results on record.
Stal Mielec
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Górnik Łęczna and Stal Mielec.
What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?
Our pick is Górnik Łęczna or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?
On our numbers Górnik Łęczna have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stal Mielec 19%.
How many goals will there be in Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?
Our predicted score is Górnik Łęczna 2–1 Stal Mielec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?
Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Bogdanka Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
