Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: FC Volendam to win @ 2.95 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeracles to win ✗42% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Heracles vs FC Volendam preview and prediction
The match
FC Volendam travel to Asito Stadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday 26 April (13:30 WAT) to face Heracles.
Form guide
Heracles's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Heerenveen 1–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
FC Volendam's last 4: LDWW Most recently they lost to Twente 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FC Volendam arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Heracles and 1.5 for FC Volendam. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Heracles 42%, draw 21%, FC Volendam 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.53.
Value angle: FC Volendam to win at 2.95 – 36% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Heracles 1–1 FC Volendam. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heracles42%fair 2.37 · @2.16
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.75
FC Volendam36%fair 2.74 · @2.95
3.11Expected goals
1.62Heracles xG
1.49FC Volendam xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Heracles 1.6 – 1.5 FC Volendam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heracles to win✗
42%
2.37
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heracles / FT Heracles✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.47
–
Form
Heracles – last 5
LDLDL
5 Apr
@ Heerenveen
1–4
L
20 Mar
vs Excelsior
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ AZ Alkmaar
0–4
L
6 Mar
vs Utrecht
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ GO Ahead Eagles
0–4
L
0.4Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
FC Volendam – last 4
LDWW
10 Apr
@ Twente
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Feyenoord
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Groningen
3–2
W
13 Feb
vs PSV Eindhoven
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heracles and FC Volendam.
What is the prediction for Heracles vs FC Volendam?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Heracles vs FC Volendam?
On our numbers Heracles have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Volendam 36%.
How many goals will there be in Heracles vs FC Volendam?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heracles vs FC Volendam?
Our predicted score is Heracles 1–1 FC Volendam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Heracles vs FC Volendam?
Heracles vs FC Volendam (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Asito Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Excelsior5
Utrecht0