Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUtrecht to win ✗61% · @1.63
Double chanceUtrecht or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.99
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle preview and prediction
The match
PEC Zwolle travel to Stadion Galgenwaard in the Eredivisie on Sunday 22 February (14:30 WAT) to face Utrecht. Utrecht are 14th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while PEC Zwolle sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Utrecht and 1.0 for PEC Zwolle. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Utrecht 2–0 PEC Zwolle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Utrecht61%fair 1.63 · @1.63
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.95
PEC Zwolle17%fair 5.83 · @4.90
3.05Expected goals
2.05Utrecht xG
0.99PEC Zwolle xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Utrecht 2.1 – 1.0 PEC Zwolle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Utrecht to win✗
61%
1.63
1.63
Double chance
Utrecht or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.63
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Half-time result
Utrecht ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Utrecht / FT Utrecht✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.99
–
Form
Utrecht
No recent results on record.
PEC Zwolle – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Heerenveen
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Utrecht and PEC Zwolle.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
On our numbers Utrecht have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and PEC Zwolle 17%.
How many goals will there be in Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
Our predicted score is Utrecht 2–0 PEC Zwolle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Galgenwaard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.