Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Raków Częstochowa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Raków Częstochowa to win @ 1.81 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRaków Częstochowa to win ✓63% · @1.81
Double chanceRaków Częstochowa or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.56
Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Raków Częstochowa take on Korona Kielce on Friday 8 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at zondacrypto Arena. Raków Częstochowa are 16th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Korona Kielce sit 11th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Raków Częstochowa's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Cracovia Krakow 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Korona Kielce's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Piast Gliwice 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Raków Częstochowa and 0.8 for Korona Kielce. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Raków Częstochowa 63%, draw 23%, Korona Kielce 14%.
Safer route: Raków Częstochowa or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Raków Częstochowa to win at 1.81 – 63% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Raków Częstochowa or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Raków Częstochowa 1–0 Korona Kielce. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raków Częstochowa63%fair 1.59 · @1.81
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.70
Korona Kielce14%fair 7.33 · @4.10
2.66Expected goals
1.89Raków Częstochowa xG
0.77Korona Kielce xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 1.9 – 0.8 Korona Kielce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raków Częstochowa to win✓
63%
1.59
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Raków Częstochowa or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Half-time result
Raków Częstochowa ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raków Częstochowa / FT Raków Częstochowa✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.56
–
Form
Raków Częstochowa – last 6
WDLLLW
19 Apr
vs Cracovia Krakow
4–1
W
4 Apr
vs Widzew Łódź
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Fiorentina
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Gornik Zabrze
1–3
L
12 Mar
@ Fiorentina
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Pogon Szczecin
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Korona Kielce – last 6
DDLWLL
1 May
vs Piast Gliwice
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Jagiellonia
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Lechia Gdansk
2–4
L
22 Mar
vs Arka Gdynia
3–0
W
16 Mar
@ Pogon Szczecin
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Lech Poznan
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raków Częstochowa and Korona Kielce.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce?
Our pick is Raków Częstochowa or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Korona Kielce 14%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 1–0 Korona Kielce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce?
Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at zondacrypto Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arka Gdynia1