Value bet: Jagiellonia to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRaków Częstochowa to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Raków Częstochowa take on Jagiellonia on Wednesday 13 May, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at zondacrypto Arena. Raków Częstochowa are 16th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Jagiellonia sit 9th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Raków Częstochowa's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Korona Kielce 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Jagiellonia's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Gornik Zabrze 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Raków Częstochowa and 1.3 for Jagiellonia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Jagiellonia to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Jagiellonia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raków Częstochowa45%fair 2.20 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.55
Jagiellonia34%fair 2.94 · @3.20
2.78Expected goals
1.51Raków Częstochowa xG
1.26Jagiellonia xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 1.5 – 1.3 Jagiellonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raków Częstochowa to win✗
45%
2.20
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.63
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raków Częstochowa / FT Raków Częstochowa✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.10
–
Form
Raków Częstochowa – last 6
WWDLLL
8 May
vs Korona Kielce
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs Cracovia Krakow
4–1
W
4 Apr
vs Widzew Łódź
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Fiorentina
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Gornik Zabrze
1–3
L
12 Mar
@ Fiorentina
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jagiellonia – last 6
LDWLDW
24 Apr
vs Gornik Zabrze
1–2
L
10 Apr
@ Korona Kielce
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs GKS Katowice
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Lechia Gdansk
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa
2–2
D
26 Feb
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raków Częstochowa and Jagiellonia.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jagiellonia 34%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Jagiellonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at zondacrypto Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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