Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze preview and prediction
The match
Arka Gdynia host Gornik Zabrze in the Ekstraklasa on Wednesday 13 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski w Gdyni.
Form guide
Arka Gdynia's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Lech Poznan 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Gornik Zabrze's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Jagiellonia 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gornik Zabrze arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Arka Gdynia and 1.5 for Gornik Zabrze. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arka Gdynia 29%, draw 22%, Gornik Zabrze 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Arka Gdynia 1–1 Gornik Zabrze. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arka Gdynia29%fair 3.46 · @3.45
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Gornik Zabrze49%fair 2.03 · @2.08
2.57Expected goals
1.07Arka Gdynia xG
1.51Gornik Zabrze xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Arka Gdynia 1.1 – 1.5 Gornik Zabrze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gornik Zabrze to win✗
49%
2.03
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gornik Zabrze / FT Gornik Zabrze✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.83
–
Form
Arka Gdynia – last 6
DLDWLD
8 May
@ Lech Poznan
1–1
D
27 Apr
@ Piast Gliwice
1–4
L
12 Apr
@ Cracovia Krakow
2–2
D
7 Apr
vs Zaglebie Lubin
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Korona Kielce
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gornik Zabrze – last 6
WWDWDW
24 Apr
@ Jagiellonia
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Zawisza Bydgoszcz
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Raków Częstochowa
3–1
W
8 Mar
@ Motor Lublin
0–0
D
4 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arka Gdynia and Gornik Zabrze.
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze?
On our numbers Arka Gdynia have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gornik Zabrze 49%.
How many goals will there be in Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our predicted score is Arka Gdynia 1–1 Gornik Zabrze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze?
Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gdyni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
