Value bet: Wisla Plock to win @ 2.64 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWisla Plock to win ✓42% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.97
Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Nieciecza take on Wisla Plock on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 11:15 (WAT) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.
Form guide
Nieciecza's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Piast Gliwice 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Wisla Plock's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Lechia Gdansk 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Nieciecza and 1.4 for Wisla Plock. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Wisla Plock to win at 2.64 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Nieciecza 1–1 Wisla Plock. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nieciecza35%fair 2.85 · @2.48
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
Wisla Plock42%fair 2.37 · @2.64
2.63Expected goals
1.24Nieciecza xG
1.39Wisla Plock xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nieciecza 1.2 – 1.4 Wisla Plock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wisla Plock to win✓
42%
2.37
2.64 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wisla Plock / FT Wisla Plock✓
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.97
–
Form
Nieciecza – last 6
WLLDLD
6 Apr
vs Piast Gliwice
3–2
W
22 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
1–4
L
13 Mar
vs Motor Lublin
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Raków Częstochowa
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Gornik Zabrze
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Wisla Plock – last 4
WLLL
10 Apr
vs Lechia Gdansk
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ GKS Katowice
0–1
L
9 Mar
vs Arka Gdynia
0–3
L
2 Mar
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nieciecza and Wisla Plock.
What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock?
On our numbers Nieciecza have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Wisla Plock 42%.
How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock?
Our predicted score is Nieciecza 1–1 Wisla Plock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock?
Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arka Gdynia0