Value bet: Arka Gdynia to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultJagiellonia to win45% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–110% · fair 10.29
Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Arka Gdynia take on Jagiellonia on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski w Gdyni.
Form guide
Arka Gdynia's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Cracovia Krakow 2–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Jagiellonia's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Korona Kielce 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Arka Gdynia and 1.5 for Jagiellonia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arka Gdynia 34%, draw 21%, Jagiellonia 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Arka Gdynia to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Arka Gdynia 1–1 Jagiellonia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arka Gdynia34%fair 2.90 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Jagiellonia45%fair 2.23 · @2.18
2.72Expected goals
1.25Arka Gdynia xG
1.47Jagiellonia xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Arka Gdynia 1.2 – 1.5 Jagiellonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia to win
45%
2.23
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.63
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
50%
1.99
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
10%
10.29
–
Form
Arka Gdynia – last 6
DWLDWL
12 Apr
@ Cracovia Krakow
2–2
D
7 Apr
vs Zaglebie Lubin
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Korona Kielce
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Wisla Plock
3–0
W
5 Mar
@ Radomiak Radom
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Jagiellonia – last 6
DWLDWD
10 Apr
@ Korona Kielce
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs GKS Katowice
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Lechia Gdansk
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa
2–2
D
26 Feb
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arka Gdynia and Jagiellonia.
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia?
On our numbers Arka Gdynia have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jagiellonia 45%.
How many goals will there be in Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia?
Our predicted score is Arka Gdynia 1–1 Jagiellonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia?
Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gdyni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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